Track Record

Full transparency. Every prediction we've made, scored and verified against actual outcomes.

4,892

Total Predictions

0.104

Brier Score

73.2%

Accuracy Rate

1.24

Sharp Ratio

Calibration Plot

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Predicted probability vs. actual frequency

Keplerz predictions
Perfect calibration

Recent Resolved Predictions

Will Bitcoin hit $100K in 2025?72%Yes0.080
Fed rate cut in March 2025?35%No0.120
Will GPT-5 launch by June 2025?45%No0.200
Lakers win 2025 NBA Championship?18%No0.030
US inflation below 3% in Q1 2025?62%Yes0.140
Tesla Robotaxi launch in 2025?28%No0.080